jueves, 25 de noviembre de 2010

Entrevista a Pawlenty (National Journal)

Reid Wilson (National Journal) entrevistó al Gobernador Tim Pawlenty la semana pasada en la conferencia anual de la RGA. Hoy publica sus declaraciones:

(...) I haven't made a final decision yet. I mean, we're obviously looking at it. But as to whether we do it or don't do it, I'm not going to make up my mind internally for probably a few months yet," Pawlenty said. "I've got a set of experiences and skills that might benefit the country. But, I haven't made a decision whether I'm the right person to do that, whether I'm the only person who can do that."

(...) "I think if you're a serious candidate for president, you become well-known. So over time that resolves itself. And early polls, early handicapping I think are just mere speculation," he said. Asked whether he would have the resources to mount a big campaign, Pawlenty is optimistic: "In terms of what it takes to run a Cadillac, or even a Buick, campaign in a bunch of early states, I mean if I decide to do this I think we can raise the money."

(...) "There is ... a new day in the conservative movement, the Republican Party," Pawlenty said. "The tradition is you take the establishment candidate who also can get support with social conservatives and came in second last time and nominate him or her. I think that's probably going to change this time."

(...) "You're going to have 5 or 6 people middle-aged men and maybe some women, saying, on the Republican stage, whether that's in California or somewhere else, talking about taxes and health care reform and education reform and Iran and New START treaties and jobs and you know, pro-growth, job policies that are going to sound pretty similar around the policies. I mean there'll be differences, but they wouldn't be huge differences," he said.

"I think the more interesting and important question is going to be as you look at the personal and political records of those individuals what does that tell you about their fortitude personally? Do they have the record to actually back up the rhetoric?" Pawlenty asked. "In other words, are they just giving you pretty rhetoric or do they actually get it done? And also have they demonstrated the willingness to take the hit to actually get it done? Because I think the next president is going to have to be unpopular for a while, casue there's some really tough stuff he's going to have to get done. And I think that's going to be the fuller measure of this thing."

(...) "You know, two years is an enternity in politics, but, uh, a lot can happen. There's always intervening events. So anyone who tells you they know what's going to happen two years from now is blowing smoke at you," he said. "But if the election were held today and a reasonable Republican candidate who could market our message effectively President Obama would be defeated."

(...) "You have an entire crop of really gifted and talented and principled governors who just got elected, and in most cases with Republican legislatures, and in many cases in Republican or at least swing states that are going to do amazing things," he said. "And I think the country is going to look at that and say, 'Wow, if they can do that in Michigan and take a state that was on the ropes, economically depressed and have somebody like [Gov.-elect] Rick Snyder come in and bring that state back then I think you can say we can do that nationally."

(...) "They're finally coming around on some issues that I think are historic. You know, George Bush got reelected in President of the United States in 2004. And back then he was still pretty popular. And he said he had political capital and he was going to use it. He teed up entitlement reforms, specifically Social Security and Medicare. He couldn't even get a hearing in one committee of a Congress controlled by his own party. I mean it was a complete non-starter back then. The country wasn't ready, the Congress wasn't ready, the Republican Party wasn't ready."

"Now you fast-forward just 6 years, not a generation, but just 6 years, 2010. And you ask people, 'What's your number one concern?' And of course it's the economy and jobs, for understandable reasons, but number two is government spending or something. You know, cousin of government spending. And 10 or 15 years ago, you talk about that, you know, the deficit spending, [and] people say, 'Yes it's a concern.' But does it really drive your vote? Does it really motivate you? Does it really tick you off? Are you really going to act on that? Eh, down the list a ways. But today? You've got average people, you know grocery stores, the Home Deport, coming up saying, 'Governor, this thing's out of control. You know, we're in deep trouble.' They're getting the spending deficit and debt. You know, they can't list the six things that need to be done to fix Social Security or Medicare or Medicaid. But they know we're in deep trouble, they know it has to do with entitlements, they know it has to do with run-away government. And now they're ready, at least conceptually.

"You know, there's an old adage that when the pupils are ready, the teacher will appear. The pupils are, maybe not fully ready, but they're warming up. And they're a lot more ready now on that issue than they were in 2004. I give President Bush credit, it took a lot of courage to say, and put a marker down, we're going to try this. But it tells you something about the Congress and the Republican Party back then that they wouldn't even touch it. They wouldn't even take a vote in a committee. And now you have the whole debate, in addition to the pro-growth and the pro-job policies, coming around to 'We gotta fix spending' and, really, it leads you back to the whole question entitlements."

More: "You've got to shoot it to them straight. You gotta try to make it a sense that there is a way forward, there is a future. And you've got to show them the way forward. And I think that the country is sufficiently concerned and, at some level, worried that they're willing to hear you out and most of them, I think, would be willing to sacrifice if they knew it was for the betterment of the country and if it was a fair deal."

"And frankly, it's not that hard. I mean this stuff has all been white papered, studied, seminared to death, think tanked to death. I mean every think tank has done every possible view of what needs to be done on the spending and entitlement reform. So the question isn't what needs to be done. The question is do you have the fortitude to actually do it? And that's why I get back to where I started this discussion. There's not a lot of mystery about the kinds of things you need to do to fix the entitlement programs. The question is do you have the fortitude to tell the American people the truth and get it done. And again, in Minnesota we've done all that. It's obviously smaller scale, but we have cracked down hard on the government, particularly structural spending, in a place that has a very different culture." (...)

2 comentarios:

Anónimo dijo...

Estimado Antxon:

No conozco demasiado a Tim Pawlenty. Siempre suelo comentar en los post acerca de los candidatos que más conozco como Romney, Huckabee o Thune, que es mi favorito, pero de Tim Pawlenty no se demasiado. Lo que sé, lo único que sabía era que era el Gobernador de Misnesota y que fue un potencial candidato a la VP con McCain, es a través de las informaciones que nos vas proporcionando en el post. Me dices que es un muy buen gobernador y que puede ser la gran sorpresa en 2012. No lo pongo en duda y me decanto por él, sin cnocerle demasiado antes que por la Señorita Palin que va de mal en peor. Lo de la hija en el "Dancing with the Stars" es de traca y lo de llamar "aliados" a la adjecta dictadura de Corea del Norte es más de traca. Soy de la opinión de Barbara Bush que recomienda a esta Señorita que se quede en las frías tierras de Alaska. La encuesta de Marrist Poll ya señala que cada vez Palin pierde más adeptos y entre los seguidores del tea party se percibe ya un hartazgo de esta señora.

Te quiero preguntar que te parece Haley Barbour? ¿Puede ser otra de las sorpresas en 2012?

Happy Thanksgiving day

Recibe un cordial saludo

Casto Martín

Antxon G. dijo...

Yo no sé si Pawlenty será la sorpresa. Lo que creo es que hasta el momento es el que más está haciendo por conseguirlo. El que parece tener un plan. De momento por parte de Thune, Daniels y compañía no hay movimiento, y creo que encesitan moverse sin esperar demasiado porque no son conocidos para el gran público. Creo que estos no pueden pretender seguir la estrategia de los ma´s conocidos como Romney, porque no tendrían tiempod e afianzarse como aletrnativas. Quien quiera sorprender tiene que empezar ya a darse a conocer en Iowa y en NH, aunque siga manteniendo un perfil bajo a nivel nacional. Y en eso Pawlenty parece que lleva meses recorriendo un camino que los otros no han empezado a recorrer.

Barbour será uno de los favoritos si se presenta por las enormes sumas que puede llegar a recaudar. Para Barbour, igual que para Romney, sería anunciar que se presenta y emepzar a lloverle las cotnribuciones al día siguiente.

Personalmente no creo que sea el candidato adecuado para enfrentar a Obama, demasiado sureño y demasiado insider, una combinación extraña para unc anddiato, pero podría sorprendernos. Es candidato, estratega, recaudador de fondos, negociador, cabeza aprlante, es todo en uno. Domina todos los detalles de una campaña electoral. Pero precisamente por eso creo que sería de mayor utilidad trabajando en la sombra para otro candidato, que para sí mismo. Es amigo de Daniels y de Pawlenty, sobre todod e Daniels, pero también podría trabajar para asegruar la nominación de Romney proque al fin y alc abo es un nomrbe del partido y hará lo que toca hacer.